The Coming China Wars | Peter Navarro

Summary of: The Coming China Wars: Where They Will Be Fought And How They Can Be Won
By: Peter Navarro


As an engaging and exhaustive examination of the potential impact of an aging population on the U.S. at large, ‘The Coming China Wars: Where They Will Be Fought and How They Can Be Won’ by Peter Navarro delivers a sweeping look at a topic of paramount importance. The author offers a comprehensive overview of how the growing number of retirees and aging baby boomers may bear down on the economy, presenting readers with an informed analysis backed up by relevant statistics and facts. Expect to delve deep into the current state of the U.S.’s demographic landscape and an exploration of its potential economic consequences. Navarro also dismantles popular myths that surround this topic, providing the reader with clear insights into the reality of the aging population and their impact on future generations.

America’s Gray Future

More than ever before, America is grappling with an aging population challenge. In the next few years, a massive wave of baby boomers is expected to hit the economy, creating a significant economic burden. To illustrate, 60,000 Americans are currently aged 100 or more, a number that’s expected to increase to 600,000 by mid-century. Caring and housing the centenarians will be a daunting task, putting a massive strain on resources and the health care system. As the nation braces for this gray future, policymakers and organizations must prepare and strategize to deal with the aging population challenge.

The Generational Storm

The economy is facing a demographic crisis as life expectancy is increasing, and birth rates are declining. In 1900, only one in 20 Americans lived to 65, but now, life expectancy is 76, and 12.4% of the population is over 65. Additionally, the population doubled from 76 million in 1900 to 286 million in 2000, with projected growth to over 300 million in 2006. However, family sizes are shrinking, and birth rates in some European countries could cause population shrinkage. The result is a looming crisis where fewer workers will be available to fund the retirements of a growing number of aging baby boomers.

Social Security’s Looming Crisis

A rapidly aging America will soon have only two covered workers per beneficiary in the Social Security system, leading to a crisis in supporting retiree payments. The number of people aged 65 or older is set to increase continually from 35.5 million in 2000 to 69.4 million in 2030 before further rising through to 2080, with the elderly population possibly reaching 96.5 million by 2090. These demographic trends have significant and far-reaching socioeconomic implications for a nation transforming into a retirement community.

Generational Accounting for a Broken Compass: An Urgent Solution

The American government is accumulating debts that will burden future generations with a huge economic burden. Generational accounting is an urgent solution, which has been implemented in 30 other countries. The government’s compass is broken as it uses the federal debt as a measure of the fiscal position. Inflation is not a viable solution as it diminishes the value of money, creating continually rising prices that are socially and economically disruptive. The formula is simple: someone will have to pay the government’s bills- either the current generation or future ones. It is urgent that the public understands these implications.

The Looming Debt Crisis

A government economist warns of a looming debt crisis that will burden future generations for their lifetime. Dr. Jagadeesh Gokhale reveals that future generations will face double today’s net tax rate to pay off the debt. The government has been concealing the debt crisis, which is three times more serious than the $3.5 trillion commonly used to describe Social Security’s fiscal shortfall. The Social Security Trustees Report reveals an approximate $10.5 trillion deficit, which requires a payroll tax hike of 4.5% to meet the true cost of the shortfall. Current discussions suggest a 2% increase in payroll taxes, which is insufficient to address the crisis. The current generation must take action to prevent the looming debt crisis that will burden future generations.

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